Wednesday, February 20, 2013
- Name: Robert D. Brown III
- Location: Atlanta, Georgia, United States
I am a senior decision support advisor who provides guidance, deep insights, and valuable solutions for senior decision-makers facing complex, high-risk problems related to strategic planning, risk management, project valuation & planning, and project portfolio analysis & management.
My goal is to help people ensure that the decisions they make are well framed (focused on the right problem and clearly defined) and that they understand the implications of uncertainty and risk on the likelihood of achieving their goals.
“A decision was wise, even though it lead to disastrous consequences, if the evidence at hand indicated that it was the best one to make; and a decision was foolish, even though it lead to the happiest possible consequences, if it was unreasonable to expect those consequences."
-Herodotus, ca. 500 BC.
Note that only the last 10 posts are listed here. More tasty bits are actually here than meets the eye.
- Fooling Ourselves
- Incite!Sales: Sales Portfolio and Forecasting Syst...
- A Brief Explanation of Expected Value
- Getting the Lead Out - of Poor Thinking
- Got Correlation?
- So, What Is Your Algorithm?
- A Mathematician's Lament
- Odd Couples: How Ice Skaters and Fireflies Tell Us...
- Economists Are Overconfident. So Are You
- Hypothesis Driven vs. Data Driven Analytics
"Blessed is he who has learned how to engage in inquiry, with no impulse to harm his countrymen or to pursue wrongful actions, but perceives the order of immortal and ageless nature, how it is structured."